FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.59 – 64.79

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295 ±12.8

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 32.87Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 19.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 12.43Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.7 ±12.1

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 28.18Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 11.71Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 24.9Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5577, 2048, 5065

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5577, 2048, 5065

Auto

13.0 20%

Teleop

31.8 50%

Endgame

19.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7196, 5756, 10577

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7196, 5756, 10577

Auto

10.8 17%

Teleop

32.2 50%

Endgame

21.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.6pts

Blue projected score64.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.2
Score range: 54–76
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 34 vs event baseline 62.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295Season APEX208.7

13Auto10.8

31.8Teleop32.2

19.2Endgame21

12Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	1
teleop	6	5
endgame	5	12
foul	0	0
total	16	18

Result

Final score

16 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.