FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

15.6 – 12.1

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

7 – 6

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.8 ±11.7

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 18.46Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 2.23Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -5.09Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.5 ±13.9

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 2.37Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 11.17Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX -1.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7865, 3632, 5577

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7865, 3632, 5577

Auto

2.6 17%

Teleop

4.9 31%

Endgame

8.2 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 3%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7145, 4758, 6532

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7145, 4758, 6532

Auto

4.4 41%

Teleop

9.3 87%

Endgame

-3.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 3%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score15.6pts

Blue projected score12.1pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.5
Score range: 5–23
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 13 vs event baseline 37.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.8Season APEX171.5

2.6Auto4.4

4.9Teleop9.3

8.2Endgame-3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	6
teleop	2	0
endgame	3	0
foul	0	0
total	7	6

Result

Final score

7 – 6

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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