FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.85 – 32.64

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.8 ±11.2

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 51.08Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 20.05Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 8.72Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.7 ±13.3

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 2.05Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 4.67Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 25.92Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 9255, 6096

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3175, 9255, 6096

Auto

23.6 29%

Teleop

38.9 48%

Endgame

19.2 24%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6099, 5756, 2048

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6099, 5756, 2048

Auto

2.9 9%

Teleop

14.9 46%

Endgame

14.9 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.9pts

Blue projected score32.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 7%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.2
Score range: 27–86
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 33.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.8Season APEX176.7

23.6Auto2.9

38.9Teleop14.9

19.2Endgame14.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	8
teleop	102	23
endgame	24	11
foul	5	0
total	165	42

Result

Final score

165 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.