FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

31.19 – 20.59

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

52 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.6 ±12.2

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 9.77Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 12.7Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 8.72Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 138 ±13.3

6616Mechanical Pumas

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 19.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX -7.78Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 8.72Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4680, 7692, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 7692, 4758

Auto

8.6 28%

Teleop

17.0 56%

Endgame

5.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 3%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6616, 5065, 5532

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6616, 5065, 5532

Auto

10.7 52%

Teleop

9.1 44%

Endgame

0.8 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 3%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.2pts

Blue projected score20.6pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.6
Score range: 15–37
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 69 vs event baseline 33.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.6Season APEX138

8.6Auto10.7

17Teleop9.1

5Endgame0.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	15
teleop	30	2
endgame	2	0
foul	10	0
total	52	17

Result

Final score

52 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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