FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.17 – 102.93

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

180 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.4 ±10.5

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 106.44Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5478Pershing Doughbots

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 8.31Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 54.42Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±10.4

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 39.5Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 50.25Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 13.18Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 5478, 123

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3175, 5478, 123

Auto

47.9 28%

Teleop

87.3 52%

Endgame

32.9 20%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9255, 8352, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 8352, 3632

Auto

30.0 29%

Teleop

47.9 47%

Endgame

24.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.2pts

Blue projected score102.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.2
Score range: 92–180
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 61.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.4Season APEX260.3

47.9Auto30

87.3Teleop47.9

32.9Endgame24.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	25
teleop	82	6
endgame	34	20
foul	5	0
total	180	51

Result

Final score

180 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Match videos

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