FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Foundation Division

Playoff · Semifinal 3-1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

459.17 – 317.63

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 81.4 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 439.5 ±11.6

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 77.89Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

503Frog Force

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 199.62Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 181.66Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 290.5 ±12.7

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 116.09Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 93.28Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 108.26Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 141.5
Score range: 261–516
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 614 vs event baseline 314.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

439.5Season APEX290.5

85.9Auto69.7

274.9Teleop186.5

93.2Endgame62.4

87Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	58
teleop	256	107
endgame	80	37
foul	5	0
total	412	202

Result

Final score

412 – 202

Prediction correct · score err 81.4

Match videos

Watch (youtube)