Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
104.52 – 292.04
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
139 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 108.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 53.44Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 10.14Rank 33Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 40.94Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 96.4Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 118Event APEX 106.67Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 88.97Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6085, 7768, 8873
38
/ 100 compatProjected
104.5 pts
~0.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 6085, 7768, 8873
Auto
38.6 38%
Teleop
53.5 52%
Endgame
10.8 10%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11503, 5533, 858
65
/ 100 compatProjected
292 pts
~2.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 11503, 5533, 858
Auto
56.9 19%
Teleop
167.1 57%
Endgame
68.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score104.5pts
Blue projected score292pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -187.5
- Score range
- 46–351
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
330.4Season APEX306.3
38.6Auto56.9
53.5Teleop167.1
10.8Endgame68
151Consistency166
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 46 |
| teleop | 56 | 43 |
| endgame | 64 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 139 | 110 |
Result
Final score
139 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 108.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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