Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
332.73 – 273.98
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
347 – 174
Prediction correct · off by 57.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 750.2 ±8.7
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 61.44Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 173.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 97.73Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 517.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 64.48Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 5.16Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 204.34Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3770, 3641, 1701
71
/ 100 compatProjected
332.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3770, 3641, 1701
Auto
61.0 19%
Teleop
169.1 51%
Endgame
98.9 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 4%
Blue · 5166, 6753, 6615
61
/ 100 compatProjected
274 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 5166, 6753, 6615
Auto
55.5 21%
Teleop
163.6 61%
Endgame
48.6 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 4%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score332.7pts
Blue projected score274pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 58.8
- Score range
- 217–390
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
750.2Season APEX517.4
61Auto55.5
169.1Teleop163.6
98.9Endgame48.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 84 | 22 |
| teleop | 206 | 90 |
| endgame | 57 | 62 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 347 | 174 |
Result
Final score
347 – 174
Prediction correct · off by 57.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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