Qualification · Qualification 71
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
334.54 – 488.56
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
398 – 461
Prediction correct · off by 45.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 152.85Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 114.69Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 67Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 677.8 ±9.3
Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 125.03Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 159.12Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 204.41Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8373, 5675, 7188
65
/ 100 compatProjected
334.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8373, 5675, 7188
Auto
44.8 13%
Teleop
197.4 59%
Endgame
91.0 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 72%
Supercharged: 47%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7056, 2851, 2137
84
/ 100 compatProjected
488.6 pts
~3.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7056, 2851, 2137
Auto
76.0 16%
Teleop
296.9 61%
Endgame
115.1 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 72%
Supercharged: 47%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.46 · Blue 3.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score334.5pts
Blue projected score488.6pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 72%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 47%, blue 53%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -154
- Score range
- 272–552
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
538.3Season APEX677.8
44.8Auto76
197.4Teleop296.9
91Endgame115.1
151Consistency187
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 114 |
| teleop | 223 | 274 |
| endgame | 136 | 73 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 398 | 461 |
Result
Final score
398 – 461
Prediction correct · off by 45.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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