Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
298.84 – 201.71
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
320 – 354
Prediction missed · off by 86.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 67.33Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 138.06Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 93.45Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 88.98Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 6.42Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 106.31Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4810, 6152, 4967
65
/ 100 compatProjected
298.8 pts
~2.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4810, 6152, 4967
Auto
60.1 20%
Teleop
168.0 57%
Endgame
68.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 38%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 818, 4956, 7056
53
/ 100 compatProjected
201.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 818, 4956, 7056
Auto
49.7 24%
Teleop
113.2 56%
Endgame
40.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 38%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.66 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score298.8pts
Blue projected score201.7pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 77%
Supercharged bonusred 38%, blue 25%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 97.1
- Score range
- 139–362
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
547.7Season APEX462.8
60.1Auto49.7
168Teleop113.2
68.5Endgame40.1
195Consistency165
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 80 | 71 |
| teleop | 142 | 196 |
| endgame | 98 | 87 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 320 | 354 |
Result
Final score
320 – 354
Prediction missed · off by 86.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.