Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
285.58 – 375.45
25%75%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
301 – 436
Prediction correct · off by 38 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 92.67Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 58.55Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 134.36Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 682 ±9.3
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 41.13Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 193.79Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 140.53Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 288, 1718, 5086
63
/ 100 compatProjected
285.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 288, 1718, 5086
Auto
61.5 21%
Teleop
168.8 58%
Endgame
58.6 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7188, 7166, 33
76
/ 100 compatProjected
375.5 pts
~2.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7188, 7166, 33
Auto
71.7 19%
Teleop
182.6 49%
Endgame
117.9 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Low variance, consistent output
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.55 · Blue 2.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score285.6pts
Blue projected score375.5pts
Red win probability25%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 44%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -89.9
- Score range
- 221–440
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
483.6Season APEX682
61.5Auto71.7
168.8Teleop182.6
58.6Endgame117.9
210Consistency246
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 77 |
| teleop | 146 | 265 |
| endgame | 101 | 94 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 301 | 436 |
Result
Final score
301 – 436
Prediction correct · off by 38 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.