FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Foundation Division

Playoff · Semifinal 8-1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

403.5 – 419.87

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

429 – 348

Prediction missed · off by 48.7 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 396.1 ±12.1

862Lightning Robotics

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 78.53Rank 38Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 185.5Event APEX 175.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 149.96Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 513.1 ±12.7

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 114.45Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5193Pantheon

A+

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 161.18Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 144.24Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.4
Score range: 344–480
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 777 vs event baseline 332.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.1Season APEX513.1

82Auto94

233.5Teleop228.9

85.1Endgame89.7

116Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	89
teleop	212	145
endgame	87	114
foul	20	0
total	429	348

Result

Final score

429 – 348

Prediction missed · score err 48.7

Match videos

Watch (youtube)