FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Foundation Division

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

405.88 – 324.95

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

538 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 100.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 599.1 ±9.8

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 198.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 110.59Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 97.12Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567 ±9.3

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 97.14Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 81.25Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 146.56Rank 24Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8608, 2611, 3767

/ 100 compat

Projected

405.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8608, 2611, 3767

Auto

66.0 17%

Teleop

244.0 63%

Endgame

76.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 38%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3602, 1684, 3572

/ 100 compat

Projected

325 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3602, 1684, 3572

Auto

52.5 16%

Teleop

175.1 54%

Endgame

97.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 38%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.55 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score405.9pts

Blue projected score325pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 38%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.9
Score range: 266–465
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 794 vs event baseline 329.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

599.1Season APEX567

66Auto52.5

244Teleop175.1

76.9Endgame97.4

130Consistency214

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	15
teleop	307	131
endgame	150	105
foul	0	5
total	538	256

Result

Final score

538 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 100.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.