Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
248.81 – 244.88
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
213 – 332
Prediction missed · off by 61.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 66.94Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 120.82Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 61.05Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 655.6 ±8.7
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 82.41Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 81.67Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 80.8Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8767, 1023, 5982
64
/ 100 compatProjected
248.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8767, 1023, 5982
Auto
53.8 21%
Teleop
138.7 54%
Endgame
63.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2586, 7250, 1684
58
/ 100 compatProjected
244.9 pts
~2.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2586, 7250, 1684
Auto
43.1 19%
Teleop
117.7 53%
Endgame
63.2 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score248.8pts
Blue projected score244.9pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 27%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 3.9
- Score range
- 186–308
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
414.9Season APEX655.6
53.8Auto43.1
138.7Teleop117.7
63.7Endgame63.2
221Consistency130
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 31 |
| teleop | 117 | 147 |
| endgame | 42 | 154 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 213 | 332 |
Result
Final score
213 – 332
Prediction missed · off by 61.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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