FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Foundation Division

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.61 – 402.95

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

257 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 108.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.4 ±9.3

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 24.7Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 1.4Rank 29Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3767TC Titans

Season APEX 116.7Event APEX 82.51Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 645.8 ±9.3

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 195.5Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 85.51Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 121.94Rank 33Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 302, 244, 3767

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 302, 244, 3767

Auto

4.8 5%

Teleop

56.1 53%

Endgame

45.5 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8608, 9255, 201

/ 100 compat

Projected

403 pts

~3.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8608, 9255, 201

Auto

62.5 16%

Teleop

233.5 61%

Endgame

89.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score108.6pts

Blue projected score403pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -294.3
Score range: 50–462
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 728 vs event baseline 325.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.4Season APEX645.8

4.8Auto62.5

56.1Teleop233.5

45.5Endgame89.3

179Consistency204

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	52
teleop	139	309
endgame	80	110
foul	0	0
total	257	471

Result

Final score

257 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 108.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.