Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
251.24 – 171.41
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
247 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 22.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 145.27Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 42.34Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 63.63Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 8.79Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 108.19Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 54.43Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5505, 9771, 3668
49
/ 100 compatProjected
251.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 5505, 9771, 3668
Auto
5.9 2%
Teleop
152.4 61%
Endgame
93.2 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 25%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6088, 3875, 217
49
/ 100 compatProjected
171.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 6088, 3875, 217
Auto
26.2 16%
Teleop
79.6 49%
Endgame
56.7 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 25%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score251.2pts
Blue projected score171.4pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 26%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 79.8
- Score range
- 109–313
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
419.6Season APEX341.4
5.9Auto26.2
152.4Teleop79.6
93.2Endgame56.7
114Consistency184
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 56 | 35 |
| teleop | 133 | 121 |
| endgame | 53 | 57 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 247 | 213 |
Result
Final score
247 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 22.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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