Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
313.19 – 271.19
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
174 – 331
Prediction missed · off by 99.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 120.91Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 64.54Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 127.74Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 580.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 232Event APEX 109.32Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 107.18Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 54.69Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8352, 8126, 10633
62
/ 100 compatProjected
313.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8352, 8126, 10633
Auto
50.0 16%
Teleop
194.2 62%
Endgame
68.9 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 36%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9572, 2054, 217
56
/ 100 compatProjected
271.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 9572, 2054, 217
Auto
29.9 11%
Teleop
170.5 63%
Endgame
71.1 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 36%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score313.2pts
Blue projected score271.2pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 30%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 42
- Score range
- 207–377
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
394.1Season APEX580.7
50Auto29.9
194.2Teleop170.5
68.9Endgame71.1
162Consistency151
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 53 |
| teleop | 92 | 193 |
| endgame | 30 | 80 |
| foul | 20 | 5 |
| total | 174 | 331 |
Result
Final score
174 – 331
Prediction missed · off by 99.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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