FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.09 – 186.77

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

202 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.4 ±9.3

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 43.51Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 104.73Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 59.85Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.3 ±8.1

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 44.81Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 76.87Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 65.09Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7056, 3656, 302

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7056, 3656, 302

Auto

27.7 14%

Teleop

118.8 58%

Endgame

58.6 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1076, 8373, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1076, 8373, 503

Auto

34.9 19%

Teleop

107.4 58%

Endgame

43.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.1pts

Blue projected score186.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.3
Score range: 160–235
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 152.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

578.4Season APEX667.3

27.7Auto34.9

118.8Teleop107.4

58.6Endgame43

33Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	22
teleop	115	92
endgame	47	54
foul	0	10
total	202	178

Result

Final score

202 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.