FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

409.26 – 195.49

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.2 ±8.8

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 39.42Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 184.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 185.19Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.3 ±10.5

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 24.12Rank 36Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 69.15Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 102.22Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5567, 27, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

409.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5567, 27, 5460

Auto

85.6 21%

Teleop

235.2 58%

Endgame

81.5 20%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5530, 7197, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5530, 7197, 3641

Auto

31.7 17%

Teleop

103.3 54%

Endgame

54.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score409.3pts

Blue projected score195.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 213.8
Score range: 168–436
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 150.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

832.2Season APEX450.3

85.6Auto31.7

235.2Teleop103.3

81.5Endgame54.6

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	105	59
teleop	160	84
endgame	83	42
foul	0	10
total	348	195

Result

Final score

348 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.