FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.64 – 213.36

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 219

Prediction missed · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.9 ±11.6

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 43.63Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5046Jacked Up Jackets

Season APEX 150.7Event APEX 57.97Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 50.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390 ±11

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 87.62Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 107.63Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

240TEMPEST

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 18.11Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6570, 5046, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6570, 5046, 6081

Auto

35.8 24%

Teleop

73.1 48%

Endgame

41.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5144, 2611, 240

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5144, 2611, 240

Auto

31.4 15%

Teleop

117.6 57%

Endgame

58.0 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.6pts

Blue projected score213.4pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.7
Score range: 125–240
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 451 vs event baseline 149.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

333.9Season APEX390

35.8Auto31.4

73.1Teleop117.6

41.9Endgame58

71Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	20
teleop	134	133
endgame	58	66
foul	0	0
total	232	219

Result

Final score

232 – 219

Prediction missed · off by 43 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.