FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

377.89 – 120.87

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

531 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 104.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.2 ±8.8

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 28.73Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 174.06Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 175.1Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.5 ±13.3

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 59.81Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 28.4Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 32.66Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5567, 27, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5567, 27, 5460

Auto

82.5 22%

Teleop

210.8 57%

Endgame

77.2 21%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7501, 8124, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7501, 8124, 4216

Auto

31.9 27%

Teleop

56.8 49%

Endgame

28.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score377.9pts

Blue projected score120.9pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 257
Score range: 95–404
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 145.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

832.2Season APEX200.5

82.5Auto31.9

210.8Teleop56.8

77.2Endgame28.1

82Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	24
teleop	329	35
endgame	98	6
foul	5	0
total	531	65

Result

Final score

531 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 104.5 pts

Match videos

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