FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.44 – 206.21

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 48.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.2 ±8.8

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 35.14Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 181.34Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 181.96Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.4 ±9.3

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 43.08Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 103.89Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 59.24Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5567, 27, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5567, 27, 5460

Auto

88.5 23%

Teleop

222.5 57%

Endgame

81.8 21%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7056, 3656, 302

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7056, 3656, 302

Auto

29.8 15%

Teleop

118.0 58%

Endgame

56.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score398.4pts

Blue projected score206.2pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.2
Score range: 178–426
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 153.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

832.2Season APEX578.4

88.5Auto29.8

222.5Teleop118

81.8Endgame56.1

0Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	22
teleop	175	103
endgame	47	49
foul	0	5
total	329	179

Result

Final score

329 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 48.3 pts

Match videos

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