Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
35.89 – 89.1
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
53 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -16.86Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42Event APEX 30.54Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 22.21Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 54Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 9.1Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 26Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8832, 9618, 11437
19
/ 100 compatProjected
35.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 8832, 9618, 11437
Auto
19.7 78%
Teleop
4.7 19%
Endgame
1.0 4%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7197, 10285, 7501
58
/ 100 compatProjected
89.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7197, 10285, 7501
Auto
16.8 19%
Teleop
49.4 56%
Endgame
22.8 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score35.9pts
Blue projected score89.1pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -53.2
- Score range
- 13–112
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
171.3Season APEX246.8
19.7Auto16.8
4.7Teleop49.4
1Endgame22.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 18 |
| teleop | 18 | 56 |
| endgame | 15 | 46 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 53 | 125 |
Result
Final score
53 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.