FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

362.59 – 277.52

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

357 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 793.8 ±8.8

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 102.44Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 93.3Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 166.85Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550.8 ±10.5

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 171.17Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 87.63Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 18.72Rank 36Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 5144, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3656, 5144, 27

Auto

64.4 18%

Teleop

208.6 58%

Endgame

84.1 24%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5460, 3668, 5530

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5460, 3668, 5530

Auto

37.1 14%

Teleop

161.5 59%

Endgame

73.3 27%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score362.6pts

Blue projected score277.5pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.1
Score range: 253–388
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 694 vs event baseline 140.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

793.8Season APEX550.8

64.4Auto37.1

208.6Teleop161.5

84.1Endgame73.3

52Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	78
teleop	184	154
endgame	69	85
foul	20	20
total	357	337

Result

Final score

357 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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