FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

71.78 – 49.15

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.7 ±13.9

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 21.84Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 22.83Rank 24Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11437The ARC - Addison Robotics Club

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 27.11Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.7 ±12.7

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 20.37Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 0.84Rank 37Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 27.94Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6591, 5314, 11437

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6591, 5314, 11437

Auto

14.8 21%

Teleop

32.0 46%

Endgame

22.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8374, 5260, 8300

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8374, 5260, 8300

Auto

16.4 35%

Teleop

17.9 39%

Endgame

12.1 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.8pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.6
Score range: 24–97
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 141.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.7Season APEX132.7

14.8Auto16.4

32Teleop17.9

22.1Endgame12.1

40Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	9
teleop	46	18
endgame	21	26
foul	0	0
total	81	53

Result

Final score

81 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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