FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.33 – 143.5

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

239 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.8 ±12.4

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 170.33Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 11.7Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 31.3Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.3 ±12.2

11437The ARC - Addison Robotics Club

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 27.31Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 19.47Rank 36Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 96.72Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5460, 9204, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5460, 9204, 4216

Auto

33.3 16%

Teleop

122.7 60%

Endgame

48.8 24%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11437, 5530, 5144

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11437, 5530, 5144

Auto

18.2 13%

Teleop

77.5 57%

Endgame

40.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score213.3pts

Blue projected score143.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.8
Score range: 119–238
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 361 vs event baseline 141.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.8Season APEX280.3

33.3Auto18.2

122.7Teleop77.5

48.8Endgame40.4

41Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	26
teleop	120	60
endgame	34	36
foul	15	0
total	239	122

Result

Final score

239 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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