FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.6 – 75.15

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 96.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.9 ±12.2

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX -Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 10.29Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 465.1 ±11.7

240TEMPEST

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 10.29Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 43.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX -Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3668, 8300, 5205

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3668, 8300, 5205

Auto

19.3 37%

Teleop

23.4 44%

Endgame

9.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 240, 5460, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 240, 5460, 11505

Auto

20.1 30%

Teleop

34.6 52%

Endgame

12.0 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.6pts

Blue projected score75.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.6
Score range: 30–98
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.9Season APEX465.1

6.6Auto13.7

2.3Teleop24

1.4Endgame7.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	21
teleop	39	153
endgame	36	46
foul	15	0
total	101	220

Result

Final score

101 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 96.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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