FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.52 – 161.32

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.1 ±12.8

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 85.11Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 25.63Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -23.22Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327 ±11.6

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 45.94Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 45.77Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 69.61Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3668, 8124, 8832

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3668, 8124, 8832

Auto

25.5 32%

Teleop

25.8 32%

Endgame

29.1 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6570, 6081, 9210

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6570, 6081, 9210

Auto

44.1 27%

Teleop

70.4 44%

Endgame

47.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.5pts

Blue projected score161.3pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.8
Score range: 63–186
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.1Season APEX327

25.5Auto44.1

25.8Teleop70.4

29.1Endgame47.3

115Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	36
teleop	61	124
endgame	48	30
foul	0	0
total	130	190

Result

Final score

130 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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