FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

212.51 – 180.44

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

239 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 14 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.7 ±10.4

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 84.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 67.72Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 60.13Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.2 ±11.7

5046Jacked Up Jackets

Season APEX 150.7Event APEX 53.07Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 96.25Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 31.12Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3668, 9210, 7197

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3668, 9210, 7197

Auto

29.1 14%

Teleop

116.4 56%

Endgame

62.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5046, 5144, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5046, 5144, 4216

Auto

25.0 14%

Teleop

103.6 60%

Endgame

45.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.5pts

Blue projected score180.4pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.1
Score range: 155–238
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 139.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.7Season APEX377.2

29.1Auto25

116.4Teleop103.6

62.6Endgame45.5

47Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	31
teleop	139	90
endgame	57	48
foul	5	10
total	239	179

Result

Final score

239 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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