FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

52.29 – 31.39

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 17 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.7 ±12.2

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 22.85Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 9.76Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 19.68Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.4 ±13.3

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -12.02Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 19.71Rank 36Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 23.7Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8300, 11505, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8300, 11505, 10607

Auto

18.3 41%

Teleop

35.3 79%

Endgame

-8.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5205, 5530, 8124

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5205, 5530, 8124

Auto

15.6 58%

Teleop

-2.1 0%

Endgame

13.2 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.3pts

Blue projected score31.4pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.9
Score range: 6–77
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 101 vs event baseline 141.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.7Season APEX164.4

18.3Auto15.6

35.3Teleop-2.1

-8.8Endgame13.2

24Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	12
teleop	13	34
endgame	17	11
foul	5	0
total	44	57

Result

Final score

44 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 17 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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