FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.37 – 117.31

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 4.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±12.7

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 36.09Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9618Tronarchs

Season APEX 42Event APEX 30.68Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 24.6Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234 ±11.6

240TEMPEST

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 38.05Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 33.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 46.17Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5708, 9618, 8374

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5708, 9618, 8374

Auto

10.5 11%

Teleop

53.5 58%

Endgame

27.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 240, 5567, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 240, 5567, 6081

Auto

25.2 22%

Teleop

45.4 40%

Endgame

44.1 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.4pts

Blue projected score117.3pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.9
Score range: 65–143
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 142.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.3Season APEX234

10.5Auto25.2

53.5Teleop45.4

27.5Endgame44.1

15Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	18
teleop	33	41
endgame	32	52
foul	0	0
total	89	111

Result

Final score

89 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 4.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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