FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.01 – 204.72

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.5 ±11.2

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 73.3Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -16.83Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 28.54Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479 ±10.8

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 107.79Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 11.62Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 85.31Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8373, 8832, 1502

/ 100 compat

Projected

85 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8373, 8832, 1502

Auto

13.1 16%

Teleop

40.3 48%

Endgame

30.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2611, 6591, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2611, 6591, 503

Auto

34.9 17%

Teleop

103.0 51%

Endgame

62.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85pts

Blue projected score204.7pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.7
Score range: 59–231
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 142.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.5Season APEX479

13.1Auto34.9

40.3Teleop103

30.2Endgame62.6

64Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	46
teleop	4	115
endgame	0	53
foul	0	0
total	16	214

Result

Final score

16 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.