FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.61 – 242.27

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.7 ±11.7

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 104.71Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 66.68Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -9.78Rank 37Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 598.1 ±10.5

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 29.54Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 43.26Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 169.47Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 7501, 5260

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3656, 7501, 5260

Auto

26.9 16%

Teleop

96.4 58%

Endgame

41.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7056, 6570, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7056, 6570, 5460

Auto

45.8 19%

Teleop

133.8 57%

Endgame

55.7 24%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.6pts

Blue projected score242.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.7
Score range: 137–267
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.7Season APEX598.1

26.9Auto45.8

96.4Teleop133.8

41.5Endgame55.7

56Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	50
teleop	75	147
endgame	58	73
foul	0	0
total	180	270

Result

Final score

180 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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