FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

172.2 – 71.26

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.1 ±11.6

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 48.54Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 87.45Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 36.21Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.8 ±13.9

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 25.48Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 30.96Rank 24Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 14.82Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6081, 3668, 11387

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6081, 3668, 11387

Auto

36.3 22%

Teleop

83.5 51%

Endgame

43.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8124, 5314, 9204

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8124, 5314, 9204

Auto

15.7 26%

Teleop

26.9 44%

Endgame

18.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score172.2pts

Blue projected score71.3pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.9
Score range: 45–198
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 141.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.1Season APEX182.8

36.3Auto15.7

83.5Teleop26.9

43.1Endgame18.8

46Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	13
teleop	56	12
endgame	51	22
foul	0	5
total	138	52

Result

Final score

138 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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