FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.19 – 74.04

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 526.1 ±9.8

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 90.21Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 54.78Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 68.2Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.7 ±12.2

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 29.64Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 26.82Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 17.58Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5144, 7197, 8373

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5144, 7197, 8373

Auto

20.3 10%

Teleop

116.5 56%

Endgame

72.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8374, 10607, 6591

/ 100 compat

Projected

74 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8374, 10607, 6591

Auto

4.6 6%

Teleop

45.2 61%

Endgame

24.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score213.2pts

Blue projected score74pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 139.1
Score range: 48–239
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 141.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

526.1Season APEX136.7

20.3Auto4.6

116.5Teleop45.2

72.4Endgame24.8

55Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	8
teleop	160	11
endgame	75	1
foul	0	0
total	258	20

Result

Final score

258 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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