FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

104.96 – 49.5

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.4 ±11.7

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 37.26Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 36.15Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9618Tronarchs

Season APEX 42Event APEX 31.55Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.9 ±12.2

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 20.49Rank 36Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -3.47Rank 37Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 32.48Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11387, 302, 9618

/ 100 compat

Projected

105 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 302, 9618

Auto

16.1 16%

Teleop

46.1 45%

Endgame

40.6 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5530, 5260, 1502

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5530, 5260, 1502

Auto

3.2 6%

Teleop

30.3 61%

Endgame

16.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105pts

Blue projected score49.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.5
Score range: 24–131
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 143.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.4Season APEX209.9

16.1Auto3.2

46.1Teleop30.3

40.6Endgame16.5

44Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	6
teleop	42	10
endgame	17	8
foul	5	0
total	92	24

Result

Final score

92 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.