FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.62 – 106.35

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.5 ±10.2

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 76.82Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 22.38Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 97.42Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.1 ±10.4

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 22.98Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 29.16Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 54.21Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 503, 4216, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 503, 4216, 3656

Auto

23.9 12%

Teleop

128.9 64%

Endgame

48.2 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10607, 5567, 7197

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10607, 5567, 7197

Auto

14.0 13%

Teleop

68.9 64%

Endgame

24.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score196.6pts

Blue projected score106.4pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.3
Score range: 80–223
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 141.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

545.5Season APEX256.1

23.9Auto14

128.9Teleop68.9

48.2Endgame24.5

59Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	20
teleop	137	53
endgame	47	33
foul	15	5
total	262	111

Result

Final score

262 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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