FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.29 – 282.23

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 41 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.3 ±12.7

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 21.48Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 46.95Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 15.86Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 677.5 ±10

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 155.79Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 96.99Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 29.45Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8300, 6570, 9204

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8300, 6570, 9204

Auto

21.9 28%

Teleop

37.5 49%

Endgame

17.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 2611, 5708

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 27, 2611, 5708

Auto

52.3 19%

Teleop

172.4 61%

Endgame

56.5 20%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.3pts

Blue projected score282.2pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -197.9
Score range: 59–307
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 140.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.3Season APEX677.5

21.9Auto52.3

37.5Teleop172.4

17.7Endgame56.5

43Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	108
teleop	17	191
endgame	25	48
foul	10	5
total	72	352

Result

Final score

72 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 41 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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