FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.62 – 191.58

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 317

Prediction correct · off by 73.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±12.8

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 32.46Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX -0.64Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 6.8Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 558.3 ±11.1

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 20.63Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 18.14Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 152.81Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1502, 10285, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1502, 10285, 11505

Auto

4.8 13%

Teleop

24.8 69%

Endgame

6.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11387, 8374, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 8374, 5460

Auto

22.3 12%

Teleop

119.6 64%

Endgame

44.6 24%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.6pts

Blue projected score191.6pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153
Score range: 14–217
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 139.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.5Season APEX558.3

4.8Auto22.3

24.8Teleop119.6

6.5Endgame44.6

111Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	62
teleop	25	205
endgame	17	50
foul	0	0
total	60	317

Result

Final score

60 – 317

Prediction correct · off by 73.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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