FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

195.12 – 245.79

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

161 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.9 ±12.2

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 101.63Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9618Tronarchs

Season APEX 42Event APEX 43.99Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 49.5Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 560.2 ±10.5

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 15.33Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 146.51Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 83.95Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2611, 9618, 6570

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2611, 9618, 6570

Auto

22.2 11%

Teleop

111.2 57%

Endgame

61.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8300, 5460, 9210

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8300, 5460, 9210

Auto

45.6 20%

Teleop

134.9 58%

Endgame

51.8 22%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.1pts

Blue projected score245.8pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.7
Score range: 171–270
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 134.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

304.9Season APEX560.2

22.2Auto45.6

111.2Teleop134.9

61.7Endgame51.8

44Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	53
teleop	67	192
endgame	63	63
foul	0	0
total	161	308

Result

Final score

161 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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