FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.34 – 57.92

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

133 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±12.2

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 57.78Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11437The ARC - Addison Robotics Club

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 27.32Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 44.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.5 ±11.7

5046Jacked Up Jackets

Season APEX 150.7Event APEX 39.35Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -5.61Rank 37Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 24.18Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7197, 11437, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7197, 11437, 6081

Auto

30.9 25%

Teleop

59.3 49%

Endgame

31.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5046, 5260, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5046, 5260, 10607

Auto

23.3 36%

Teleop

28.1 43%

Endgame

13.5 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.3pts

Blue projected score57.9pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.4
Score range: 34–153
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 135.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.9Season APEX226.5

30.9Auto23.3

59.3Teleop28.1

31.3Endgame13.5

29Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	19
teleop	67	60
endgame	36	1
foul	0	5
total	133	85

Result

Final score

133 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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