Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
144.94 – 60.82
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
236 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 49.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.2 ±10.8
Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 61.35Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 12.39Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 71.2Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 0.48Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 16.58Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42Event APEX 43.76Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 503, 11437, 3668
69
/ 100 compatProjected
144.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 503, 11437, 3668
Auto
29.6 23%
Teleop
76.2 59%
Endgame
23.3 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10285, 8300, 9618
28
/ 100 compatProjected
60.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10285, 8300, 9618
Auto
-0.5 0%
Teleop
19.6 39%
Endgame
31.7 62%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score144.9pts
Blue projected score60.8pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 84.1
- Score range
- 36–170
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
452.2Season APEX136.5
29.6Auto-0.5
76.2Teleop19.6
23.3Endgame31.7
125Consistency86
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 21 |
| teleop | 124 | 12 |
| endgame | 77 | 19 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 236 | 52 |
Result
Final score
236 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 49.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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