Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
5.97 – 207.87
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
34 – 144
Prediction correct · off by 46 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 57.5Event APEX -1.13Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 26.66Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -19.56Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.2 ±12
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -5.92Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 148.82Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42Event APEX 64.97Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9204, 8374, 8832
8
/ 100 compatProjected
6 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9204, 8374, 8832
Auto
17.0 100%
Teleop
-17.4 0%
Endgame
1.5 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5205, 27, 9618
87
/ 100 compatProjected
207.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5205, 27, 9618
Auto
42.6 21%
Teleop
107.4 53%
Endgame
53.3 26%
Strengths
- · 27 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score6pts
Blue projected score207.9pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -201.9
- Score range
- -19–233
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
148.3Season APEX497.2
17Auto42.6
-17.4Teleop107.4
1.5Endgame53.3
134Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 21 |
| teleop | 14 | 58 |
| endgame | 12 | 65 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 34 | 144 |
Result
Final score
34 – 144
Prediction correct · off by 46 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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