FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.6 – 71.76

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 9.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.1 ±12.7

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -22.82Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 24.41Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

240TEMPEST

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 19.01Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.2 ±13.3

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 25.99Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 23.48Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 22.29Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8832, 8300, 240

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8832, 8300, 240

Auto

12.3 73%

Teleop

-6.7 0%

Endgame

11.3 67%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4216, 8124, 11387

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4216, 8124, 11387

Auto

24.9 37%

Teleop

36.5 54%

Endgame

6.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score20.6pts

Blue projected score71.8pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.2
Score range: -8–101
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 160.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.1Season APEX292.2

12.3Auto24.9

-6.7Teleop36.5

11.3Endgame6

69Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	22
teleop	8	43
endgame	5	10
foul	0	0
total	36	75

Result

Final score

36 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 9.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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