FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.22 – 29.01

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.6 ±11.7

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 6.15Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 85.91Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 48.16Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.5 ±12.2

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX -3.94Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 19.62Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 13.33Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5205, 9210, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5205, 9210, 10607

Auto

25.1 18%

Teleop

73.0 52%

Endgame

43.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10285, 8374, 5567

/ 100 compat

Projected

29 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10285, 8374, 5567

Auto

4.8 15%

Teleop

20.3 65%

Endgame

5.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.2pts

Blue projected score29pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.2
Score range: 4–165
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 137.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.6Season APEX149.5

25.1Auto4.8

73Teleop20.3

43.5Endgame5.9

111Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	3
teleop	67	30
endgame	8	25
foul	0	0
total	112	58

Result

Final score

112 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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