FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.68 – 145.59

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

354 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 953.2 ±8.1

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 29.17Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 117.89Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 119.62Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.8 ±13.3

9618Tronarchs

Season APEX 42Event APEX 69.65Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8124RHS BearBots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 34.5Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 41.44Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1076, 5460, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1076, 5460, 27

Auto

47.8 19%

Teleop

161.1 63%

Endgame

47.7 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9618, 8124, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9618, 8124, 6081

Auto

16.1 11%

Teleop

79.2 53%

Endgame

55.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.7pts

Blue projected score145.6pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.1
Score range: 122–291
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 449 vs event baseline 133.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

953.2Season APEX199.8

47.8Auto16.1

161.1Teleop79.2

47.7Endgame55

75Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	30
teleop	259	17
endgame	39	23
foul	5	25
total	354	95

Result

Final score

354 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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