FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.92 – 175.76

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.1 ±12.8

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 14.51Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -14.26Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 94.67Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.8 ±12.4

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 49.68Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 58.33Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 67.75Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4216, 8832, 2611

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4216, 8832, 2611

Auto

21.6 24%

Teleop

50.2 56%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6591, 11505, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6591, 11505, 3656

Auto

6.0 3%

Teleop

124.6 71%

Endgame

45.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.9pts

Blue projected score175.8pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.8
Score range: 71–200
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 135.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

308.1Season APEX361.8

21.6Auto6

50.2Teleop124.6

18Endgame45.6

196Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	16
teleop	48	48
endgame	16	24
foul	0	0
total	87	88

Result

Final score

87 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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