FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.93 – 166.18

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.4 ±11.1

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 58.52Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 23.88Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 23.53Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.4 ±10.8

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 61.95Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9210Fighting Falcons

Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 80.33Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 23.9Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 8300, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3656, 8300, 6081

Auto

8.2 8%

Teleop

62.7 64%

Endgame

26.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11505, 9210, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11505, 9210, 503

Auto

23.3 14%

Teleop

99.7 59%

Endgame

44.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.9pts

Blue projected score166.2pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.2
Score range: 82–190
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 133.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.4Season APEX435.4

8.2Auto23.3

62.7Teleop99.7

26.8Endgame44.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	43
teleop	60	99
endgame	47	25
foul	0	5
total	139	172

Result

Final score

139 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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