FIM District Chelsea Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

138.39 – 10.11

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 20.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.3 ±9.8

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 31.48Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 15.5Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 91.41Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±13.3

5260Owosso Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 22.04Rank 37Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 6.43Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -18.36Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1502, 5567, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1502, 5567, 3641

Auto

18.3 15%

Teleop

85.9 69%

Endgame

20.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5260, 5708, 8832

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5260, 5708, 8832

Auto

11.8 96%

Teleop

-5.6 0%

Endgame

6.1 50%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score138.4pts

Blue projected score10.1pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 128.3
Score range: -15–163
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 159 vs event baseline 138.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.3Season APEX191.6

18.3Auto11.8

85.9Teleop-5.6

20.4Endgame6.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	8
teleop	72	21
endgame	38	7
foul	5	0
total	123	36

Result

Final score

123 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 20.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.