Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.47 – 159.27
26%74%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
92 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 14.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 248 ±12.8
Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 74.22Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 1.18Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 0.07Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 31.42Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 88.82Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 39.03Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5144, 9204, 10285
50
/ 100 compatProjected
75.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5144, 9204, 10285
Auto
15.9 22%
Teleop
31.6 45%
Endgame
23.3 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 240, 8373, 7056
69
/ 100 compatProjected
159.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 240, 8373, 7056
Auto
22.0 14%
Teleop
109.4 68%
Endgame
28.8 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.5pts
Blue projected score159.3pts
Red win probability26%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -83.8
- Score range
- 50–184
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
248Season APEX445.2
15.9Auto22
31.6Teleop109.4
23.3Endgame28.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 22 |
| teleop | 53 | 81 |
| endgame | 23 | 43 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 92 | 146 |
Result
Final score
92 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 14.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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